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Intel's Next-Generation Nova Lake Rumored to Double Core Count

kyojuro 3 Şubat 2025 Pazartesi

As AMD's Zen 5 architecture processors continue to gain traction in the market, Intel has discreetly revealed its plans for the next generation of processors, under the Nova Lake moniker. According to engineering sample information shared by Reddit user @Exist50, the flagship model of Nova Lake-S will feature a configuration comprising 16 performance cores (P-cores) and 32 efficiency cores (E-cores). This effectively doubles the core count compared to the current Arrow Lake series. Intel's bold strategy is seen as a direct response to AMD's impressive Zen 6, which boasts a per CCD 32-core design.

Nova Lake Architecture

Leaked specifications reveal that the Nova Lake series will, for the first time, incorporate a dual compute module design:

  • NVL-SK Desktop Flagship: Dual 8 P-cores alongside 16 E-cores.
  • NVL-HX Mobile Workstation: Single configuration of 8 P-cores and 16 E-cores.
  • NVL-U Ultra Low Power Edition: A focused 4 P-core setup.

Additionally, we can expect higher configurations featuring 16 P-cores and 32 E-cores in the future. This new architecture aims to create a "twin-turbo engine" effect by reducing communication latency through discrete modules, maintaining the potential for an impressive single-core speed of 5.8GHz. However, hardware analysts caution that the dual-module design might lead to a 23% increase in ring bus latency, which could hinder performance in applications with lighter threading, like gaming.

Nova Lake Module

From the data currently available, Nova Lake faces two primary challenges:

  • Process Choice: Whether to utilize TSMC's mature and costly N3B process or to venture into Intel's 18A process node, which carries the risks associated with newer technology.
  • Yield Concerns: The dual-module design expands chip area by 37%, and experimental samples are yielding only 58%, much lower compared to Zen 5's 72%.

Notably, Nova Lake might debut with support for PCIe Gen 6.0, offering a 33% increase in bandwidth at 128GT/s compared to PCIe 5.0. This bandwidth improvement could greatly benefit AI developers who require robust data-handling capabilities but simultaneously poses challenges for motherboard power supply and cooling design.

Intel is targeting mass production of Nova Lake in 2026, coinciding with the launch window for AMD's Zen 6. The two companies have adopted divergent strategies:

  • Intel: By doubling core counts, Intel aims to capture the multi-threaded processing market, projecting a 41% increase in Cinebench R24 multi-core scores.
  • AMD: Focusing on energy efficiency, Zen 6 is expected to consume 22% less power at the same frequency.

This divergence is reminiscent of the competing technological paths of fuel vehicles versus electric vehicles. Industry analysis indicates that content creators typically prioritize multi-core performance, while gamers are more attuned to high-frequency, single-core capability. Whether Nova Lake can serve both sectors successfully will significantly influence its market acceptance.

The current Windows 11 system optimizations for hybrid architectures are inadequate, leading to underutilization of E cores in systems like Arrow Lake. Without proper system-level support, Nova Lake’s strategy of core doubling may encounter the same scheduling issues that plagued Intel's 12th-generation Core rollout. Community tests in environments like Blender reveal that only 78% of a 24-core processor’s potential is currently utilized.

From Alder Lake to Nova Lake, Intel has spent five years progressively increasing heterogeneous core counts, reaching up to 64 threads. However, with AMD leveraging technologies like 3D V-Cache to enhance 16-core processor gaming performance, the competition has transcended mere core counts. For Nova Lake, the true challenge lies not just in amassing more cores, but in optimizing each transistor for maximum effectiveness in diverse scenarios. After all, it’s the user experience, not just the physical specifications, that defines success in this technological race.

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