TSMC to Implement 10% Price Hike, Future Chips Expected to Become Increasingly Expensive

kyojuro Isnin, 3 November 2025

TSMC is currently reassessing its pricing strategy as the global demand for high-performance chips continues to grow. The company plans to increase prices for both mainstream and advanced processes, including the 3nm and 5nm nodes, in the upcoming quarters. Reports from Taiwan Economic Daily indicate that TSMC has initiated negotiations for a new round of supply contracts with key customers and anticipates that chip prices could rise by approximately 10 percent by 2026. Although this adjustment seems modest, it is expected to significantly impact the market, given the highly concentrated nature of the semiconductor supply chain.

At present, TSMC is operating at full capacity across all of its advanced process lines, including the 3nm and 5nm processes used in AI, high-performance computing (HPC), and mobile applications. The convergence of the AI boom and the smartphone upgrade cycle has boosted global demand for foundry services, establishing TSMC as one of the few companies capable of simultaneously catering to both the HPC and consumer electronics markets. These capacity constraints are expected to persist for at least another two years as demand for advanced processes in AI servers, GPUs, and custom accelerators continues to rise.

On the cost front, TSMC is experiencing pressure from multiple directions. First, the company has made substantial investments in overseas factories located in Arizona, USA, and Kumamoto, Japan, where the costs of construction and equipment setup are significantly higher than those of local facilities in Taiwan. Additionally, the costs associated with developing cutting-edge process nodes continue to escalate. Taking the 3nm process as an example, factors such as the procurement of EUV lithography equipment, material expenses, and yield optimization are driving up the cost of producing a single wafer. Industry analyses suggest that the unit price of 3nm wafers has increased by about 25% to 30% compared to 5nm wafers, and TSMC still needs to raise prices to maintain a reasonable profit margin.

Looking ahead to 2026, TSMC's advanced capacities will be increasingly populated by high-performance computing customers. Historically, smartphone SoCs represented the primary revenue source for TSMC, but now, data center chips, AI accelerators, and HPC CPUs are the main drivers of growth. Given these customers' (including NVIDIA, AMD, Apple, and Intel Foundry Services) strong dependence on a stable supply, TSMC possesses a considerable degree of bargaining power. In contrast, the yields and delivery capabilities at advanced nodes from competitors like Samsung and Intel Foundry remain less effective as substitutes, which further solidifies TSMC's pricing leverage.

However, TSMC remains cautious in its approach. The company has consistently emphasized cooperative relationships with its customers, resulting in limited price adjustments for individual process nodes over the years. Industry insiders believe the projected 10% increase more accurately reflects structural changes, such as overseas production expansion and rising costs for raw materials and labor, rather than acting as a short-term revenue booster. Considering TSMC's pivotal role in the AI era, major clients are generally expected to accept the new pricing framework.

Meanwhile, TSMC is extending its technological footprint by developing more advanced processes. The company is constructing four 1.4-nanometer fabs, with mass production anticipated to commence in the second half of 2028, potentially generating annual revenues of up to $16 billion per facility. Additionally, the company plans to start 2nm volume production in 2026 to sustain performance improvements consistent with Moore's Law. Despite facing competition from Japan's Rapidus and South Korea's Samsung, TSMC maintains leadership in volume production scale, yield control, and customer ecosystem stability.

In addition to price increases, TSMC is also optimizing its long-term supply model. To address varied customer needs, the company may prioritize the production of AI and HPC chips while transitioning some mobile orders to mature process nodes. As the semiconductor industry enters another capital-intensive phase, the global foundry landscape is shifting from a "price competition" model to a "capacity race," suggesting that companies with stable supplies of advanced processes will retain pricing power in the coming years.

Overall, TSMC's price adjustment strategy not only addresses rising manufacturing costs but also signals efforts to reinforce market dominance. Despite the price increases, demand for its advanced processes remains robust, and the growing sectors of AI servers, smart devices, and automotive computing underscore TSMC's unshakable position in high-end manufacturing. For customers, the trade-off of paying more for guaranteed production capacity and superior energy efficiency appears to have become a necessary reality.

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